Third World War coming nuclear attack war in Belgium

World War III imminent, nuclear attack war in Belgium and the Netherlands. Putin's update of nuclear doctrine and anticipated terrorist attacks. Preparation and protection. Update 08/19/2026

Trump's threats weaken NATO

On one hand, American President Donald Trump has strengthened Europe, but on the other hand, NATO's credibility is eroding due to numerous threats against its European partners. This projects weakness that can be exploited by the Russians!

Update Russian nuclear doctrine

The update of the Russian nuclear doctrine has made it clear that Russia can be the first to use nuclear weapons!

Russian Nuclear Preventive Strike

The advantages for the Russians if they attack first with nuclear weapons or a "Nuclear Preventive Strike" are somewhat nuanced by Western countries. But if Russia is the first to destroy a small, important NATO country with nuclear weapons, no one can 100% guarantee that the rest of the NATO countries will deploy the agreed "Second Strike Capability" to retaliate against Russia with nuclear weapons. Given the current relationship between Europe and America, this is even highly doubtful.

Belarus and the Oreshnik hypersonic missiles

The Oreshnik hypersonic missiles are considered by Putin to be a superweapon against which Europe has no protection. By firing these nuclear hypersonic offensive weapons from Belarus, NATO is forced to react to Belarus, and Moscow escapes a nuclear counter-reaction.

Some strategists claim that NATO's reaction would then be with conventional weapons, but how objective is this and how afraid is Putin of that? One could, of course, attack Russia with conventional weapons in response, such as sinking the Russian Navy, but yes, it's just lying uselessly in Russian ports now, so... what does it matter to Putin?

The Russian nuclear preventive strike is now also causing fear within NATO because during the Cold War, plans were ready and Russian military personnel were trained to use nuclear weapons very quickly in the event of a war with NATO. They would first attack strategic locations in Europe with nuclear weapons , thereby significantly limiting NATO's conventional capabilities. It was assumed that a nuclear attack across all of Western Europe would cause such panic that there would barely be any military resistance left. Russia would then conquer the remaining areas not yet contaminated with radioactive fallout with tanks.

Attack with a nuclear EMP weapon

A new threat, perhaps more realistic than a large-scale nuclear war, could come from an EMP weapon (Electromagnetic Pulse) that burns out all electrical components in the vicinity. An EMP weapon can be a man-made EMP (smaller weapons) or a military nuclear EMP weapon. A simulation of detonating a nuclear EMP bomb (a high-altitude nuclear bomb or Russian nuclear weapons in space) shows that this could have serious consequences. Not only because the entire electrical grid would be completely destroyed in one go, but also due to the failure of various systems that depend on working electrical components, such as hospitals, water purification, factories, all transport, agricultural machinery, and even nuclear power plants. Repairing all burned-out electric motors, transformers, and electrical controls could take months. Electricity, gas, and water could be out for months in such scenarios. Therefore, an emergency kit to survive for at least three days is essential. In the event of a military nuclear EMP detonation, various weapon systems could also be severely damaged, even to the extent that the military could be completely paralyzed and unable to retaliate. Protect your electronic equipment, such as emergency radios and emergency generators, from an EMP bomb! Wrap them in aluminum foil or store them in a grounded metal cabinet.

Attack with a nuclear torpedo

One of the latest new atomic weapons is the Russian nuclear torpedo Poseidon, which is detonated underwater off the coast of a country, causing a tsunami that floods the entire coastline. If a 2-megaton Russian nuclear Poseidon torpedo were to explode off the Belgian coast near Blankenberge, a multi-meter high tidal wave of radioactive water would inundate a large part of West Flanders and, via the Western Scheldt, also submerge a large part of Antwerp. An emergency flood kit is a good choice for those living by the sea.

Undetectable nuclear weapons

Undetectable nuclear weapons are portable nuclear bombs, dirty nuclear bombs, or other tactical nuclear bombs for which there is no direct indication of who detonated the nuclear bomb. If a portable nuclear bomb were to explode in Kyiv or a nuclear power plant were to be detonated, Russia would deny having detonated it. There would be no evidence of a missile or aircraft that launched the nuclear bomb. If one were not certain that Russia, North Korea, Iran, or another group was behind the nuclear explosion, then there would also be no counter-reaction.

If a freighter were to drop a nuclear bomb in the North Sea and detonate it only a month later, there would also be no evidence that Russia was behind the nuclear explosion, and therefore no nuclear counter-reaction would occur.

End of START treaty on nuclear weapons between Russia and America

The end of the START treaty on nuclear weapons between Russia and America heralds a new era for a nuclear arms race. The old START treaty was no longer followed by the Russians and Americans. The United States wants a new nuclear arms treaty that also includes China, but China wants as many nuclear weapons as America and is still far from reaching that. Several countries want to modernize or expand their nuclear arsenal.

Putin cornered

Ukraine receives technical support from a number of high-tech companies from America and Europe, allowing Ukraine's AI-powered drones to slip through Russian air defenses and inflict heavy damage in Moscow and St. Petersburg. Russia responds with heavy ballistic missiles on Kyiv.

This is an escalation, and after heavy ballistic missiles, there is only one step higher, and that is ballistic missiles with nuclear warheads or tactical nuclear weapons. Although some military strategists also suggest the option of chemical and biological weapons as an intermediate step, these do not have the shock effect of a nuclear weapon.

Kyiv's advanced AI drones, made with Western support, put the Russians in a difficult position, and fears are growing that Russia will eventually resort to a nuclear weapon against Kyiv.

If Putin were to fire a tactical nuclear weapon at Kyiv, the Chinese would withdraw their support for Moscow. India and Pakistan would also withdraw their support for Moscow. President Trump would likely not react against President Putin, and the British nuclear submarines are dry-docked for repairs. France alone would also not react. If the Russians use a nuclear weapon in Ukraine, there is a good chance that, aside from some political disapproval, no one will react militarily.

A nuclear war is impossible because...?

- Various researchers claim that a nuclear war cannot break out because even the slightest use of a nuclear weapon will escalate into a larger nuclear conflict where everyone will be destroyed. Unfortunately, this line of thought only applies to rational individuals and not to impulsive individuals who may see a way out in a new apocalyptic vision where large numbers of people can be sacrificed to maintain power.

So there is indeed an advantage for the Russians in attacking first with nuclear weapons!

The chance of a nuclear conflict with Russia has never been greater.

Russia is de facto at war with NATO

According to Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov, Russia is de facto at war with NATO. Russian state television weekly discusses how to attack NATO countries with nuclear weapons. The Russian criticism that NATO will retaliate with nuclear weapons is nuanced. The Russian population is being prepared to embrace a rhetoric of large-scale war with nuclear weapons against NATO. This leads Russia into a thought process where the use of nuclear weapons becomes self-evident.

Russia may have lost a lot of (old) tanks in Ukraine, but new tanks roll out of Russian arms factories daily. In addition, Russia has an advantage with hypersonic missiles, while European laser weapons for protection against them are still in the development phase. The Russian nuclear arsenal continues to expand, while Europe is losing the American nuclear umbrella. Part of NATO's eastern flank is concerned about military escalation, and the idea of a drone wall to protect Europe is taking shape.

Belgium still has an old Federal emergency plan from 1991 for protection against a nuclear attack. The new Belgian government is busy filling the backlog in armaments, but a new Federal emergency plan is on its way.

Besides the previous government's advice to have an emergency kit, there are no general measures to make the Belgian population more resilient. The criticism of fear-mongering because the government wants to better prepare the population for war leads to reluctance and passive behavior, which means that citizens' resilience and protection are not updated.

Volunteer corps are being established in various cities to assist the population in times of need. The B-FAST medical disaster team is also testing various locations in different provinces.

War medicine is becoming a compulsory subject in medical training to better prepare students for wartime conditions. Military first aid is also being expanded because victims under drone threat remain on the battlefield with severe injuries for longer without being able to be treated in a hospital.

Several old barracks and quarters are being recommissioned, leading to a spread of military personnel across the entire Belgian territory. The quarters are also being equipped with anti-drone defenses, which also increases general resilience. The military personnel from the quarters also create civil cooperation in the supply of goods and housing for military families. (Lombardsijde Barracks)

There are no known plans yet where cooperation with military resilience also further enhances civilian resilience.

Make your own emergency plan for a nuclear attack!

Emergency kit

After many European countries have already advised their population to have an emergency kit, an evolution is also noticeable. The soft, preventive reference to natural disasters is giving way to objective danger scenarios such as war, cyber attack, natural disaster, and pandemic. The emergency kit 2026 is specifically designed to survive 72 hours outdoors and, as prescribed by the Belgian Crisis Center, is separate from or a supplement to the domestic emergency kit.

The intention here is not to cause panic but to avoid hoarding situations like during the corona crisis.

Only 30% of Dutch people have emergency supplies at home, and only 12% of Dutch people have a complete emergency kit to survive for 72 hours!

In Belgium, this figure is significantly lower, with estimates suggesting that only 4% of the population has an emergency kit at home! There was a small increase in the sale of small emergency kits due to a promotion by the Red Cross Flanders, which offered a basic emergency kit for 154.95 Euros. However, this basic Red Cross emergency kit does not contain water or emergency food to survive for 72 hours and therefore cannot be considered a complete emergency kit. The argument that no ready-made emergency kits are available in Belgium is complete nonsense.

Link to Emergency Kits Belgium and Red emergency kits for 72-hour survival

In addition to the items proposed by the Belgian government, the European Commission also adds food to the survival list. The general rule for an emergency kit is to ensure one can survive for 72 hours without electricity, gas, water, or  internet. Furthermore, it is important to consider that payment systems may fail. Social contact with neighbours and paying with cash can solve many problems. Keep in mind that everything becomes much more expensive during a crisis!  

Emergency war kit 2026

The war emergency kit differs from the general emergency kit proposed by Europe and contains more items for personal protection against aggression and 72-hour survival in a shelter. The war emergency kit can be based on the current situation in Ukraine, where one may be without electricity, gas, or water for a long time. In some countries, this goes even further, anticipating a sudden large expansion in the number of reservists, which will lead to a significant shortage of military equipment.

For Belgium, this would mean that everyone of conscription age should have their own military equipment in Multicam or Woodland camouflage in their emergency kit.   

The Multicam equipment of the Belgian Army may not be sold privately, but as an alternative, the UF-PRO equipment is a fully equivalent quality and replacement that is widely used at the front in Ukraine.

Multicam is the new camouflage colour of the Belgian army. The Multicam camouflage colour is under an American patent, is widely used for the latest types of military clothing and is generally more expensive than Woodland camouflage. Multicam is lighter in colour and blends better with dry brush and in an urban environment. Link to our military equipment in Multicam. Multicam is also very popular in airsoft, but a lot of counterfeit clothing from China is used for this purpose.

Belgian Woodland camouflage colour was and is still used to a limited extent in the Belgian Army. It is the old camouflage colour of the Belgian army which is more suitable for green forested areas such as in the Belgian forests. Many ex-military personnel or individuals who have completed their national service still have Belgian Woodland clothing at home. Woodland camouflage colour is not patented and is widely used for simple clothing models, making military equipment in Woodland colour generally cheaper than Multicam. Link to our military equipment in Woodland.  

Coyote coloured equipment is sometimes combined with Woodland equipment. Coyote is more suitable for sandy or desert environments like the coast. Link to our military equipment in Coyote.

For the purchase of a military bulletproof vest in a camouflage color, no permit is required for private individuals or ordinary citizens, and it is legally permitted!

Emergency kit in two parts for 2026

The Belgian government is intervening and dividing the emergency kit into two parts. The basic emergency kit for home and an escape backpack intended to be taken during an escape or evacuation to a safer place.

Escape backpack emergency kit with sleeping bag, water and food to survive independently for 72 hours

In case of fire, flood, or aggression, the intention is to have all belongings in an escape backpack to flee or evacuate to an emergency shelter such as a basement or underground garage, sports hall, or tent camp. An escape backpack allows one to survive independently for 72 hours and is an addition or part of the general larger emergency kit.

German bunker plan.

The German government is already preparing the German Army and German territory for World War III and has started a bunker plan to identify all available bunkers so that the population can take shelter in case of a war with the Russians.

For Belgium, the new government has not yet taken drastic measures to protect its citizens, but it has made significant investments in defense that should help defend Belgian territory and Europe.

  • A new air defense system is being purchased to protect Belgian airspace, ports, and capitals. The new F35 fighter jets also significantly enhance the striking power of the Belgian air force.
  • Belgium is being confronted with the reality of drone warfare and is responding rapidly with an anti-drone plan and the purchase of counter-drone equipment.
  • The naval forces' capabilities are being restored with new frigates and expanded cooperation with the Dutch and French navies.
  • The ammunition supply for the Belgian armed forces is being replenished. More soldiers, new aircraft, and armored vehicles. Attention to civil protection and reservists.
  • The Belgian defense industry is once again being supported with investments for weapon production.
  • While we await the new Federal emergency plan, several measures have already been proposed, including that every new underground garage must be reinforced and equipped with ventilation so that it can be used as a shelter or underground hospital in an emergency. (It is likely that there will be different levels of protection against both direct impact from bombs and protection against a nuclear winter).

Hybrid attacks on Europe

All eyes of the security services are now focused on the Russian GRU Unit 29155, which has a rather notorious reputation in connection with assassinations and sabotage actions in Europe. The GRU's sabotage actions are expanding to actual arson and destruction of important infrastructure, but not severe enough to provoke a military response from NATO. With the arrest of a Russian spy who had to dig up hidden explosive corn cans in Poland to attach them under drones, we are also getting a glimpse of a new kind of (sabotage) warfare that is coming our way. The blowing up of railway tracks to sabotage arms transport has already occurred in Poland and could spread further across Europe.

Drones have become the new weapon of the future. They are easily obtainable, can be simply equipped with a bomb, and can be deployed in swarms to cause much damage. Warnings already come from airports, military installations, storage facilities for fuel and toxic chemicals. Recent revelations that Israeli drones are hidden in Iran, ready to attack targets, also make us realize that Russian attack drones could be hidden in Europe.

It is not new that Russia supports terrorism and tries to encourage extreme organizations to sow unrest in Europe. Young people are also approached to commit crimes. Although young people have little experience in using firearms, with video games, drone flight simulators, and 3D printers, young people can be turned into an efficient destabilizing force. Serious crimes and sabotage by young people between the ages of 14 and 16 are to be expected. The severe aggressive reactions of young people under 14, who commit arson and fire rockets at law enforcement and emergency services on New Year's Eve 2026, should be a wake-up call.

Banks in the Netherlands advise their customers to keep some cash at home in case of a cyberattack on their payment systems. Cyberattacks could occur where hackers shut down banks, telephone, water, and electricity companies, strategic businesses, and hospitals. Fears are growing that hackers could attack the system of pumps and sluices in the Netherlands, which could lead to large parts of the Netherlands flooding. Be prepared for the failure of banks, shops, water, and electricity. Where will you go if the sluices overflow? Do you have a backpack ready with everything in it to survive in an emergency camp, sports hall, or aid station?

Security services should consider that jammers and signal disruptors could be activated by Russian secret services, potentially disrupting radio communication with their security agents.

A hybrid attack on Europe is a real attack!

Every NATO country has already experienced a hybrid attack from the Russians, whether it be the assassination of strategic individuals, setting important buildings on fire, or blowing up strategic infrastructure by Russian secret services. The term "hybrid attack" is a sweet coating over what is a destabilizing and military sabotage attack, resulting in the population not fully grasping the seriousness of the threat. Several security services recommend no longer using the term "hybrid attack" but instead referring to the reality of the situation, such as a cyber attack or Russian sabotage attack.

The cutting of cables in the Baltic Sea by ships on behalf of Russia is considered an action by the Russian navy. The statement that Russia is de facto at war with NATO will make these hybrid attacks much more intense.

Organized terrorism. It has already been proven in the past that Russia was also involved in certain terrorist organizations. Terrorist attacks by IS or criminal organizations through payment from Russia can no longer be ruled out. After the deadly shooting in Sydney, IS calls for attacks in Belgium.

Drones over strategic locations in Europe are described as a form of hybrid attack, but in reality, it is a genuine conventional military tactic where drones disrupt the general functioning of those locations, gather information, and perform localization of strategic infrastructure that can then be used to prepare an attack or determine a target for AI-controlled or autonomous drones.

Manipulation of information, fake news, or encouraging extreme organizations that oppose the protection of Europe or the European defense industry are a form of hybrid attack. AI-generated fake news, video, and social media are becoming a powerful weapon for the Russians in this regard.

More sabotage attacks are expected. Now that various European companies are making their workplaces available in Europe for the production of weapons by Ukrainian defense companies, they form a new target for saboteurs on the European mainland. The Estonian Minister of Foreign Affairs warns that Russian detainees who fought at the front in Ukraine will be sent to Europe to commit chaos and attacks. European security services report that the Russian Wagner Group is now being deployed by the Kremlin to commit sabotage in Europe.

Putin dominates the hybrid field and has the initiative, while NATO reacts weakly for fear of escalation.

European countries are starting to cooperate to stop the Russian drones appearing everywhere over strategic locations in Europe. Europe, with its densely populated cities, cannot simply shoot down drones, as this could cause ammunition or debris from drones to fall into densely populated cities and cause casualties.

Moreover, many suspicious drones over strategic locations in Europe were probably made or assembled locally in Europe, meaning that many spies, saboteurs, and collaborators are present in Europe.

Belgium appoints a "drone general", which is a first step in raising awareness of the threats posed by drones and shaping the battlefield of the future.

The Belgian army has already invested heavily in an anti-drone detection system and the neutralisation of hostile drones. With this, the Belgian army has a layered drone protection system according to the latest technical innovations. Drones have become the dominant weapon on the current battlefield, and in addition to purchasing shotguns, there are also new weapon developments that are more geared towards combating drones. The concept of the resilience of the Belgian population has not yet adapted further to the changes on today's drone battlefield after the emergency package. (emergency kits with bulletproof and splinter-proof vests are available). The fear of drones among the Belgian population is increasing.

Anti-drone emergency kit Belgium 72h survival during drone attack

Due to the cooperation of anti-drone teams from various NATO countries, calm has returned to Belgian airspace.

Citizen response (resilience)

Some people are afraid of these unknown drones. Personal protection and emergency kits are once again gaining attention.

If those drones above Belgium carry explosives, we have a problem!

Anti-drone protection splinter-proof clothing

NATO troops not ready for drone warfare.

It seems that the NATO leadership has not kept pace with the rapidly evolving nature of warfare. A few years ago, there were already reports that the military training provided in Europe was insufficient for soldiers on the front in Ukraine.

During the NATO exercise Hedgehog 2025 in Estonia, objective training was conducted, and 10 experienced Ukrainian drone pilots were allowed to attack a large NATO force of 16,000 men with dozens of armoured vehicles.

This painfully demonstrated that, in reality, the NATO forces are completely unprepared and unequipped for a real drone war as it would be waged by the Russians today. The positive aspect is that important lessons were learned, but these lessons have not yet permeated to the top echelons of the NATO armed forces. The only soldiers who performed well were the French Special Forces, each equipped with a ghillie camouflage suit, which made them invisible to the drones from the air.

Drones are today's projectiles on the battlefield. They are much more efficient than cannons or mortars. No one enters a building for Close Quarters Battle anymore; instead, a drone is first sent for reconnaissance or to clear the area. Technically, they are even advanced enough to have a swarm of fully autonomous drones attack an entire area.

Every NATO soldier at the front should actually have an FPV drone and a kinetic anti-drone weapon with appropriate clothing such as an infrared reflective gear and a custom ghillie camouflage suit.

Dutch anti-drone challenge

Due to the variety of threatening drones, the Netherlands is looking for a variety of anti-drone measures and the government has launched an "anti-drone challenge" where Dutch companies can develop their vision and innovations to combat the different types of drones. In Russia too, most innovations in drones were developed by small companies and later acquired by large state-owned companies.

Also in the field of firearms and ammunition, a new company, Artillerie Inrichtingen Armaments (AIA), is active in making weapons and ammunition in the Netherlands again.

Belgium is less broad-minded, and Flanders is still struggling with the Walloon arms monopoly, where the interpretation of arms law is much broader than in Wallonia.

Protection for police and security officers.


The bulletproof vests for police are already resistant to Kalashnikov rifles but are in dark blue. The same bulletproof vests can also be ordered in black, which are suitable for security guards. New covers for old bulletproof vests are available if the old vests cannot carry harder bulletproof plates. The Mercury plate carrier class 4 ICW can be worn over a standard bulletproof vest as protection against war weapons.

Police services should preferably avoid extreme and typically Belgian technical requirements for their bulletproof vests. If the requirements are too strict, only one manufacturer will be able to produce these vests, and if they cannot deliver, then there will be no other options.

For security guards, it is legally mandatory to carry a first aid kit. Some police officers also carry a small first aid kit.

For the civilian population, we recommend a discreet bulletproof vest as general protection against stabbings, bullets, grenade fragments, or bomb fragments to be better protected against terrorist attacks or drone attacks.

We would like to reiterate that in a crisis situation, all wholesale bulletproof vests will be reserved by the government, and it will be very difficult for a citizen to acquire a bulletproof vest. A bulletproof vest and helmet belong in your emergency kit!

The Dual use stab- and bulletproof vest MT-PRO 3A(06) GEN 7 or the slightly thinner protection FLEX-PRO 3A(06). Also the sturdy Patrol vest or the Rhino can be worn discreetly under clothing.

In case of emergency, these vests can be upgraded to class 4 with hard bulletproof plates against Kalashnikov rifles.

As protection against war or terrorist attack, we recommend a full bulletproof vest with helmet, which you can now get with a free 72-hour emergency kit included. See also our

For parents with small children, there are also bulletproof T-shirts. These are unknown to children and come across as normal clothing, thus avoiding fears in children when these T-shirts are seen. There are two protection values: the NIJ-2 comfort, which is more appreciated by women, and the Flex-Pro NIJ-3A(06), which offers higher protection.

We notice an increased demand for bulletproof vests for children. It is somewhat logical that children are also protected by a bulletproof vest when they accompany their parents who also wear one. Some of our XSmall bulletproof vests can be used for the protection of children from the age of 6 to 7 years and a minimum height of 1.25m. The Extra Small bulletproof vest can then be adjusted to the child's size by placing the Velcro closures at the minimum. As the child grows, the closure can be opened further, allowing the vest to be used for several years.

As protection against arson in warehouses, various types of fire-resistant clothing are available that can protect you from serious burns. An aramid undershirt can prevent clothing from burning into the skin, thereby limiting the percentage of burned skin and increasing the chance of surviving serious burns.

Link to stab-resistant and cut-resistant clothing

Cut-resistant clothing not only protects against knife cuts. The strong cut-resistant fabric also offers you a degree of protection against grenade fragments or bomb fragments from FPV drones. Given that 80% of casualties in a war are caused by fragments from an explosion, cut-resistant and splinter-resistant clothing can increase your resilience.

Cut and splinter resistant combat trousers

There are many images from Ukraine of soldiers with severe injuries to their feet and legs. Hand grenades or bombs dropped by drones fall to the ground and explode low to the ground, causing serious injuries to the legs of soldiers and civilians. In response to this, cut-resistant, stab-resistant and splinter-resistant trousers are available that can significantly limit injuries from flying shrapnel.

New ideas about personal protection are becoming necessary.

Link to blog about new threats

There are already reports that more 9x19mm steel-core bullets are being found in criminal circles, and it could also be a form of hybrid warfare. Russian military ammunition in calibres 7.62x25mm, 9mm Makarov, 9x19mm, and 9x21mm Russian features a steel core that can penetrate the soft bulletproof vests of police or security guards. This requires hard bulletproof plates to stop this steel-core ammunition. The current bulletproof protection level of NIJ-3A, HO1, or HO2 for personal protection must be increased to a minimum of class NIJ-3+.

Super lightweight bulletproof plate class 3+ PGD S-LW-ICW+

Link to Class III+ bulletproof vests

This can be achieved by adding extra NIJ-3+ ICW bulletproof plates to an existing bulletproof vest or by opting for NIJ-3+ Stand Alone plates in a plate carrier. A Class 4 vest offers even heavier protection. For emergency services, this will also become a necessity in the very near future. New saboteurs from Russia will not use old soft lead core ammunition but new steel core ammunition!

President Trump and the consequences in the post-Iran war era

The refusal of European countries to assist America in its war with Iran will not be without consequences. The fact that a number of European countries have closed their airspace to American fighter jets, or have not given permission for them to land at their airports in Europe, has angered the Americans. Sanctions will follow, such as the withdrawal of stationed American military personnel and equipment.

Things have not been going well between the Trump administration and Europe for a while now.

American ambassadors in various European countries have been instructed to import Trump's vision, and there have already been several clashes with European governments, including in France, Poland, and also in Belgium.

The threat from Trump against other NATO countries such as Denmark and Canada will not soon be forgotten in Europe. These are not idle threats and could well become reality.

The Trump administration is once again putting heavy pressure on European countries to invest more in defense, especially to be able to confront multiple adversaries simultaneously. The war with Iran has made it clear that high-tech weapon systems are depleted very quickly and cannot be replenished quickly. Europe must also have its share of heavy weapon systems available and become a military power again.

All European countries already have a Plan B in case Trump leaves NATO, but for the moment President Trump has his hands full with his war in Iran.

Trump's unpredictability fuels Putin's aggression, and several countries on Europe's northern flank are taking far-reaching measures for the protection and resilience of their populations. Shooting training for civilians in Poland and Norway reports that the government can claim all goods for the army if something dramatic were to happen. We point out that we offer advanced emergency war kits in our store with numerous items for survival in an emergency situation, both in the event of a hybrid and military threat. In an emergency, the government will claim all useful survival products from wholesalers for the army and police, meaning nothing will be available for civilians in retail! Be prepared and ensure you have a complete emergency kit!

F-35 Lightning II cap

The American F35 Lightning II fighter jet is once again under discussion because all software updates are in unreliable American hands, but even with only 80% of its electronic capabilities, the F35 fighter jet is still better than all other old European fighter jets because it is virtually invisible to enemy radars. The Belgian Government has decided to proceed with the order of 11 new F35 fighter jets because this is a request from NATO and because there is no alternative with similar performance. The F35 program has no technical problem but a Trump problem.

The attack by Belgian Minister of Defense Theo Francken on German Chancellor Friedrich Merz regarding the future Franco-German sixth-generation fighter jet is, of course, justified. France wants a fighter jet that can land on an aircraft carrier and carry nuclear weapons, while Germany does not need such capabilities. This European aircraft project is experiencing enormous delays and will probably never materialize, although there are already rumors that two types of fighter jets could be developed. Belgium rightly chose the F35 Lightning II, the first of which were delivered in 2025 and the rest will be delivered in 2027. Fortunately, Belgium chose the F35; otherwise, we would have been without modern fighter jets for the next 15 years. Just as Orban lost his power overnight, the Trump threat could also be over overnight!

Is Friedrich Merz's entire position nonsense? No! The shoe also pinches between the vision of transatlanticism and European strategic autonomy. The technical requirements envisioned by the Bundeswehr are much closer to Finnish Flygsystem 2020 fighter jets, which are to replace the Gripen, than to the French Dassault vision. The F35 Lightning II is the perfect interim solution that can be put into immediate use, and Germany is now also considering purchasing more F35 fighter jets. There have been several attempts, including by French President Macron, to restart the European aircraft program of the future. The Trump threat to Europe again casts doubt on the European F35 fleet, which is supported by a dozen European countries. A Plan B is gradually taking shape, involving another European fleet of modernized Eurofighter jets that, like the modernized American F15EX, are robust workhorses in the air. Spain is canceling its option for F35 fighter jets and opting for modernized Eurofighter jets, sending a clear signal towards a stronger European aviation industry.

Is a European army pointless? Starting a European army could be particularly interesting because it would allow for uniformity and standardization, which could significantly increase and accelerate European industrial production capacities. Currently, within NATO, there are hundreds of different weapon systems.

France is quietly establishing itself as a European leader militarily independent of the United States and possesses its own nuclear military arsenal. I respect the call of Belgian Minister of Defense Theo Francken not to report on European nuclear weapons anymore.

Germany has a number of large strategic American bases on its territory and aims to become the strongest country in Europe with its large defense industry.

NATO, together with President Trump, has agreed on a greater presence in the Arctic and a permanent presence in Greenland.

Europe has shown great unity and cohesion when it was under great pressure from Trump. A common criticism of Europe is that it talks too much but does little. President Zelensky also expresses criticism, even though he receives billions in aid from Europe. Ukrainian President Zelensky is very grateful to Europe but made some valid remarks at Davos that have offended many. The fact is, with Euros alone, you can't shoot back at the Russians. Ukraine needs military hardware!

Europe's rearmament is progressing at a snail's pace. Although Mark Rutte praises the defense industry, there is still the question of why production is so slow. Only a few industrial sites were expanded with a fairly limited production capacity, held by existing arms companies, while no general production was set up. Arms production in Europe is too dependent on politics and industrial monopolies, and not on military oversight and organization.

Although Mark Rutte as NATO Secretary-General has done an excellent job of keeping NATO and Trump together, criticism of his pro-Trump stance in Europe is growing. Mark Rutte is a master at defusing dangerous situations between NATO and Trump, but after Trump's threat against a European NATO member, Denmark, with a possible military invasion of Greenland, even the Belgian Prime Minister is no longer convinced whether Trump is still an ally of Europe. Mark Rutte points out that Trump has made NATO stronger and radiates boundless confidence in Trump, but because Trump has threatened Europe with military force, confidence in America has been severely damaged.

There is a growing desire among many European countries to also have a European pillar within NATO or a kind of standing European armed force under a European Security Council independent of the Americans. A European armed force with European weapons that cannot be disabled with a snap of the Americans' fingers. The fact that US President Trump threatened another NATO country with military force for weeks is a red line for many European countries that was crossed and for which a military response must be found. Some European leaders do not agree with Mark Rutte's assertion that Europe cannot defend itself and should just keep dreaming. Even the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, responds with "Dear Mark, there are different levels to which Europe can defend itself". Maybe not 100%, but more every day...

America remains the greatest military power, and Europe bites back when truly under pressure.

Several European countries are withdrawing their gold reserves from American banks due to the unpredictable behavior of US President Trump. This is a financial signal that European banks no longer trust America and the Trump administration, causing the dollar to weaken.

As a result of the American trade war and Trump's military threat to attack a European country, Europe is looking for other trading partners and is concluding a mega trade deal with India. The Trump administration is dissatisfied and surprised that after the American threats, Europe is looking for other, friendlier trading partners.

Europe and Ukraine

The accession of Ukraine to the European Union and NATO is still being blocked by a number of countries. The fact is that Ukraine now has the most experience in defending itself against Russian aggression and protecting against drones. The Ukrainian armed forces are now helping NATO with realistic training in modern drone warfare and are also helping the European arms industry to better prepare for a war industry. Thus, there is broader cooperation between Europe and Ukraine.

Peace in Ukraine

Hard work is being done to bring about a ceasefire and peace in Ukraine, but it is becoming increasingly clear that this is pointless. Putin has already openly declared that he will not give up his ideals. Moscow would be too close to the new borders with NATO, and accepting this would be a strategic defeat. In fact, Russia does not control all areas necessary to secure Moscow. Russian attacks on Kharkiv, Sumy, and Chernihiv have failed in the past.

To achieve peace, President Zelensky would have to cede large parts of Ukraine to the Russians, but even then, it is doubtful whether Putin only wants a buffer zone in Ukraine. Peace negotiations are meaningless without the capitulation of the Ukrainian army.

Russia is expanding its war economy and rebuilding its material losses, much more than what they would need to win the war in Ukraine. Moreover, these new weapons have become more modern and are not even going to the front in Ukraine. Putin is keeping the battlefield hot with old Soviet weapons and sending his newest weapons to the NATO eastern flank, threatening the Baltic states with a new troop build-up.

A victory for Putin in Ukraine would pave the way for an attack on Europe. European countries realize that they must continue to support Ukraine because they are not ready for a direct war with the Russians. If the war is not fought in Ukraine, it will be fought on the European mainland. Some European countries see it as strategically important to pin down the Russian army in Ukraine and provide Ukraine with their own modern weapons from their national military stocks.

Predictions and hypotheses

To what extent predictions are credible we leave aside, but various seers speak of an assassination attempt on Russian President Putin and the outbreak of a war in Europe. An assassination attempt on Putin would occur because he is considered too weak and does not dare to resort to nuclear weapons. The takeover by a deranged Russian general would lead to a (limited) nuclear conflict in Europe.

Russia, North Korea, Iran, and China

The war in Ukraine is no longer regionally limited. Russia is uniting its allies North Korea, Iran, and China into a military cooperation. The Chinese defense strategy, which has actually been waging a hybrid war against the West for years, and their military build-up with preparations for a military conflict are becoming increasingly visible. Both economic activities, trade, and the accelerated large-scale expansion of their military capabilities are part of the Chinese defense strategy. China has taken over the production of a large part of strategic goods while Europe paid no attention. The military exercises and preparations are visible via satellite, with the result that the Americans are also preparing for a military conflict with China. It is expected that Russian and Chinese cooperation will be further expanded and strengthened.

It is clear that America can only limit itself to a military conflict in the Middle East and the South Pacific. Any further conflict with the Russians will have to be fought by the Europeans. Hence, the third world war is getting closer and closer.

Opening a second front with an attack on Eastern Europe

The Baltic states, Finland, and Poland point to the large troop build-up on NATO's eastern flank and warn that Russian forces are now ready to open a second front. The "little green men" who previously conquered Crimea are already appearing on the border with Estonia. An attack on NATO's eastern flank would halt arms supplies to Ukraine and give the Russians a chance to defeat the Ukrainian army.

Red line as minimum reaction time to protect Moscow from NATO attacks. Yellow line is the desirable reaction time to protect Russia from NATO

This immediately clarifies what is at stake. Northern Ukraine, eastern Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia are just as dangerous for Moscow as Ukraine and are too close to Moscow. They pose a strategic threat to the Russians that, according to them, must be neutralized. It is desirable for the Russians to control an even larger part of NATO's eastern flank. Poland, as a NATO country, is the strongest country that can offer the most resistance and logically should be addressed first. Romania is another NATO country that poses a threat to the Russians. Recent Russian drone incidents over Poland and Romania suggest that Ukraine is not Putin's final goal.

Opening a second front in Eastern Europe does not necessarily have to be large-scale. A series of aggressive border violations in the Baltic states would immediately lead to a kind of panic reaction within NATO and provoke a large troop build-up on the Eastern flank. This would cause a large European arms supply to the Eastern flank of Europe and halt arms supplies to Ukraine.

Recent violations of NATO airspace by Russian planes and drones, along with the construction of several secret drone bases for long-range drones, immediately make it clear that the entire NATO Eastern flank can be hit by Russian drones. The number of drone incidents is increasing, and the confrontation with NATO forces is escalating.

Is Russia too weak to open a second front?

  • The Western propaganda that the Russians are out of weapons is not true, especially since the Russians are supported with weapons and even troops from Iran, North Korea, and China. Every week new records are broken for the number of drones launched at Ukraine.
  • The propaganda that Russia cannot survive economically is nonsense. The Russian population will adapt to the difficult economic conditions and inconveniences, supporting the motherland. Russians are extremely patriotic!
  • The large number of Russian casualties does not impress Putin much. Firstly, Putin denies responsibility for these casualties, and furthermore, Russia has different standards than Europe. In the Battle of Stalingrad, 1.1 million Russian casualties occurred just to retake one city!
  • The Russian army is innovating and has made significant progress with new drones, new missiles, and new tanks. The Russian army as it is currently known is the old Soviet army.

Opening a third front from the Russian Kola Peninsula

The Russian threat in the Arctic region is mainly due to the many nuclear bases on the Kola Peninsula, where the Russian nuclear submarine fleet and Russian nuclear ballistic missiles are stationed.

Norway fears that Russia could open a third front because there are many military bases in northern Norway that can be the first to detect Russian nuclear submarines and ballistic nuclear missiles. The Russian nuclear submarines coming from the Kola Peninsula and intending to sail to the Atlantic Ocean are vulnerable in the narrow passage between the Arctic ice and the northern coast of Norway.

Norway fears that the Russians will invade the Norwegian border to overpower the military installations that could harm Russian nuclear submarines and ballistic nuclear missiles. The Russian nuclear submarines' goal would be to sail from the Kola Peninsula along the Norwegian coast via the northern coast of England and Ireland, and also via the North Sea, to the Atlantic Ocean, where they could cut off Europe from American military logistical support.

Given that Finland has become a member of NATO, it now has the longest border with Russia. A massive Russian troop build-up along the Finnish border is to be expected.

Nuclear attack and war in Belgium

Once NATO's eastern flank is involved in a war with the Russians, all of Europe will become a target, with European energy and transport infrastructure falling victim to sabotage actions. If Russia can no longer control the situation on the battlefield with conventional weapons, there is a high probability that tactical nuclear weapons will be used.

Belgium deludes itself into thinking that no Russian tanks will drive through Brussels and acts as if Belgium has never experienced a battle. (The Battle of Waterloo, The Battle of the Yser, The Battle of the Bulge) while Russian, North Korean and Chinese soldiers are fighting on the edge of Europe with Iranian weapons. All Leopard tanks that Europe has donated to Ukraine have already been reduced to scrap. Drones and drone motherships are the current weapons that can reach Brussels and can even be deployed completely autonomously. Let's not forget that during the Cold War, Russia had a plan to conquer Europe by first attacking the largest European countries with nuclear weapons, and Brussels was one of those nuclear targets.

It was stated that Russia could go to war with NATO within 5 years. Recent intelligence reports indicate a large troop build-up on the eastern border with NATO. According to German intelligence, Russia has completed its troop build-up and can now launch an attack on Estonia, Finland, and the Baltic states. The longer Russia waits to attack, the stronger NATO's eastern flank becomes.

The large troop build-up on NATO's eastern flank was to be expected, but with threatening rhetoric from Belarus, it also indicates that the ideal period to attack Europe will be in 2026-2027, when Europe is still fully engaged in expanding its defense and not yet ready for a war. Within three to four years, NATO will be so strong that a Russian attack on Europe will no longer have a chance of success.

Exodus

If there is a serious chance of a nuclear war in which capitals such as London, Berlin, Paris, and Brussels would be hit, an exodus of refugees will arise who will flee these countries. For Belgium and the Netherlands, that escape route will go south via Southern France, Switzerland, and Italy to the Mediterranean Sea and from there towards North Africa. Some of these refugees will go to Spain and Portugal and further to Morocco. Given the drought in North Africa, some Belgians will also go to Congo to survive the nuclear winter in Europe. There are no known preparations for the Belgian government to guide fleeing Belgians or to help boost drinking water and food production in Southern Europe or Africa. Belgium is still actively supporting Congo.

National Crisis Center in Belgium

Belgium has a National Crisis Center where various advice on different emergencies is provided. The page "Create your own emergency plan" can be of vital importance if a serious threat arises. There is a new National Emergency Plan at Defense, but concrete measures such as a bunker plan are not yet publicly known.

Think ahead in the Netherlands

In addition to impressive investments in defense, the Dutch government also has an online page with all sorts of information on how to prepare for a crisis, and what to do in case of a nuclear accident. The Netherlands issues an information booklet on how to prepare for an emergency.

Protection of the North Sea?

Despite the many threats from Russia and the clear military cooperation with North Korea, Iran, and China, Russian and Chinese ships regularly pass through the North Sea. Reports that container ships are being converted into drone motherships, minor incidents including the cutting of internet cables in the Baltic Sea, and clear underwater espionage activities have not yet led to vital areas in the North Sea being closed to shipping from countries that openly threaten Europe.

Finland, as a new NATO member, reacts extremely efficiently to sabotage actions by the Russian shadow fleet in the Baltic Sea, to the extent that it is becoming a pioneer in preparing for better protection of its territory against a possible military conflict with the Russians. Not only cable cutting but also environmental sabotage, such as detonating an oil tanker in the Baltic Sea, are a major concern for the Baltic states.

The British are also becoming very active and realize that England is an island that imports many strategic goods via underwater cables and pipelines in the North Sea. Sabotage in the North Sea, such as cutting internet cables, would shut down all banks in England; cutting pipelines for gas, oil, and electricity would shut down most British companies, with severe consequences leading to the complete collapse of the entire English economy.

The sabotage of German naval ships, where metal shavings were poured into the engines to prevent German naval ships from sailing, clearly indicates that a naval battle is being prepared by the Russians.

Russian attack from the North Sea

The attack with the new Russian Oreshnik hypersonic missile is no longer a surprise. The use of Iranian Shahed drones are merely pinpricks that mainly scare the population in Kyiv and other cities. It could get much worse for Kyiv if the Russians fire heavy ballistic long-range missiles at the city. To what extent the Oreshnik hypersonic missiles could be intercepted over Europe is not yet clear.

A Russian attack from the North Sea has a greater chance of success. Although Belgium and the Netherlands are working hard on a new navy to repel a Russian attack, it may take a few more years before the new frigates and air defense are ready.

A Russian submarine limps home and sails close to the coast of European countries. To what extent this situation can be considered merely a technical defect is still unclear, but the fact is that a Russian submarine can sail close to the European coast with an excuse and fire its 24 strategic missiles in less than a minute before a European patrol ship can react.

Perhaps old Russian tanks won't drive through Brussels, but the Ukrainian "Spider's web" drone attack nevertheless proves that a more open-minded approach will be necessary in the future. It is very simple to equip a Russian or Chinese container ship with thousands of drones and then release them off the Belgian coast.

Future of NATO

The heated atmosphere within NATO over Greenland has cooled somewhat through actions and dialogue among the involved NATO countries. The new heated atmosphere caused by the American attack in Iran further widens the rift in relations between Europe and America.

The fact is that the threats from Russia and China are serious, and a serious response is being sought within NATO.

The Trump administration is putting great pressure on Europe with both economic and military threats to encourage Europeans to invest faster and more in defense.

America wants its European allies to become stronger and capable of ensuring their own security. The main threat to America is China in the Indo-Pacific and Russia in the Arctic region.

The harsh American threats against Europe are interpreted in some countries to such an extent that America is already seen as the second threat after Russia.

NATO is rapidly expanding its military capabilities, still in conjunction with America, but Europe is taking on more responsibility for its own defense. Some Europeans no longer trust the Trump Administration after repeated threats of military intervention against Greenland and Denmark.

The idea of a European Defense Union, focusing on the European defense industry and joint military procurement, is a realistic scenario.

An alternative European nuclear strike capability based on French nuclear power and French fighter jets is also a realistic scenario.

America's threats to Europe weaken NATO due to great disunity. Europe faces a major challenge, as the naive pacifism that caused under-armament in Europe has not disappeared. The division within NATO is growing, with a group of strong, reliable countries that take defense seriously and another group that is unpredictable.

Equipment for volunteers.

If a bunker plan is implemented in Belgium or the Netherlands, volunteers will also be needed to manage everything. An expansion of civil protection volunteers, reservists, stewards, etc. Special equipment will have to be provided for these first responders.

 High-visibility bulletproof vests for stewards and first responders

but if saboteurs are active in major cities with Kalashnikov rifles, at least a Class 3+ or Class 4 plate carrier is needed. This is also available in a first responder version.

Medic plate carrier class 4 against assault rifles

Medical plate carrier for emergency services as protection against Kalashnikov rifles.


 Multicam bulletproof plate carriers class 4

There are already plans in some countries to enlist sport shooters who have weapon permits as reservists. It is estimated that 1/3 of sport shooters could qualify for this. The goal of these reservists would then be to take over the guarding duties of professional soldiers. In Belgium, about 15,000 sport shooters would be eligible to become reservists in this way.

What color uniform will these reservists wear? Multicam is an American patent for which extra payment is required. Woodland is widely available among the population and is not under patent, making the supply larger and cheaper.

Black bulletproof vests for security services and civil protection

Bulletproof vests with shoulder, neck and groin protection for civilians

Bullet and fragmentation resistant vests against armed drone attacks